January 22: “We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China. It’s going to be just fine.”
February 2: “We pretty much shut it down coming in from China.”
February 24: “The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA… Stock Market starting to look very good to me!”
February 25: “CDC and my Administration are doing a GREAT job of handling Coronavirus.”
February 25: “I think that's a problem that’s going to go away… They have studied it. They know very much. In fact, we’re very close to a vaccine.”
February 26: “The 15 (cases in the US) within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero.”
February 26: “We're going very substantially down, not up.”
February 27: “One day it’s like a miracle, it will disappear.”
February 28: “We're ordering a lot of supplies. We're ordering a lot of, uh, elements that frankly we wouldn't be ordering unless it was something like this. But we're ordering a lot of different elements of medical.”
March 2: “You take a solid flu vaccine, you don't think that could have an impact, or much of an impact, on corona?”
March 2: “A lot of things are happening, a lot of very exciting things are happening and they’re happening very rapidly.”
March 4: “If we have thousands or hundreds of thousands of people that get better just by, you know, sitting around and even going to work — some of them go to work, but they get better.”
March 5: “I NEVER said people that are feeling sick should go to work.”
March 5: “The United States… has, as of now, only 129 cases… and 11 deaths. We are working very hard to keep these numbers as low as possible!”
March 6: “I think we’re doing a really good job in this country at keeping it down… a tremendous job at keeping it down.”
March 6: “Anybody right now, and yesterday, anybody that needs a test gets a test. They’re there. And the tests are beautiful…. the tests are all perfect like the letter was perfect. The transcription was perfect. Right? This was not as perfect as that but pretty good.”
March 6: “I like this stuff. I really get it. People are surprised that I understand it… Every one of these doctors said, ‘How do you know so much about this?’ Maybe I have a natural ability. Maybe I should have done that instead of running for president.”
March 6: “I don't need to have the numbers double because of one ship that wasn't our fault.”
March 8: “We have a perfectly coordinated and fine tuned plan at the White House for our attack on CoronaVirus.”
March 9: “This blindsided us."
March 9: "The Fake News Media and their partner, the Democrat Party, is doing everything within its semi-considerable power (it used to be greater!) to inflame the CoronaVirus situation, far beyond what the facts would warrant.”
March 10: "It will go away. Just stay calm. It will go away."
I suppose it's as natural as those seeds that only sprout once they have been heated by an intense wildfire. The planet has been here a lot longer than we have, and may outlive us.
From The AtlanticRed and Blue America Aren’t Experiencing the Same Pandemic [Click] “Seattle, San Francisco, New York, Boston are just a few weeks ahead of other parts of the country. . . There will be outbreaks in places that we will be very surprised by.”
Bill, do you remember a novelette or novella in Analog several years back about a disease (I think it was a respiratory disorder. Vaguely recall mention of masks) that started in a small, backwater town in China and rapidly spread to become a global epidemic? Doctors died at high rates. Seems to me the main character was a reporter who himself got ill and died while reporting on the crisis, which was hushed up, or attempted to be hushed up, by the Chinese government. The closing scenes took place in Nicosia, Cyprus.
Can't for the life of me remember the title or author, nor the issue or even the year. But it must have been a good ten years ago, maybe twelve. I recall discussing it on the Analog Fan Club FB page, which was one of the first groups I joined on FB. The story has been in my mind for a few days; and the description of the scenes in the Italian hospital Alan posted brought it forcefully to mind. My mother forced me to throw away all my magazine back issues, so I can't go through Analog to find the story. Wondered if you might recall it.
I have subscriptions to the digital versions of ANALOG and ASIMOV'S, but never find time to read them. I've also for maybe a year had trouble accessing my B&N account, but haven't followed up because I'm buying my new stuff on Amazon -- slightly prefer the Kindle reader to Nook. So the short answer is that I probably never actually read that story and definitely don't remember it.
I'm an ER doctor. Please take coronavirus seriously. [Click] “Most people don’t understand exponential growth. If they did, they’d be far more frightened.” [Note that the graph is semi-logarithmic, not cartesian.]
Just today I learned that a friend's son (whom PhD*Son used to take care of) who is now a doctor, is a critical care doctor in Boston, and he rarely gets to leave the ICU right now. He had Pertussis in high school with a little lung damage and has an autoimmune issue. And his mother, who lives near me, is (understandably) freaked out about this.
Plus, my DIL who is a RN in Maine has added to her Facebook profile picture a border that reads "StayTheFuckHome!" I figure she sure has the right to post that!!!
You may or may not find this reassuring, but medical examiners and coroners across the country are actively preparing for a deluge of work. They are activating, or preparing to activate, their mass casualty, disaster, and continuation of service plans. They are seeking advice of colleagues overseas, particularly in Italy. They are beginning to coordinate with mortuaries. They are doing what they can, given the fact that even in normal times they are generally underfunded and understaffed. The huge problem that looms over them, just as it looms over all local government agencies in the country, is that they cannot rely upon help from neighboring jurisdictions.
They are doing what they can to expedite death certificates, without which burials generally cannot take place, and life insurance claims cannot be filed. And they will still have their normal workload to take care of.
Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker (D) plans to issue a “shelter-in-place” order for the entire state starting Saturday, essentially commanding residents to stay in their homes as the officials take drastic measures to slow the spread of the coronavirus, the Chicago Tribune reports.
Oak Park has been on "lockdown" for a couple of days now, but that specifically allows me to walk to the grocery store. For me, the only real effect of this order is that the April 6 meeting of the Disability Pride Parade planning committee will not be in-person. But we've always had a call-in option, and having everybody call in is only modestly inconvenient. The big question in my mind is how we are going to get our mail (private mailbox, so it has to be picked up in person).
Ohio now has 169 confirmed cases and 1 death. I found a free pattern for a face mask on Button Counter's blog. They're not as good as the "real" ones, but they're a whole lot better than nothing. Some hospitals are telling nurses to "just tie a scarf around your face", so things are pretty desperate. So, when I finish adding the last 3 rows onto the quilt I'm making I'm going to start making face masks.
San Francisco 1918 [Click] . . .”As supplies of gauze masks ran low, the chairman of the San Francisco chapter of the American Red Cross suggested that women craft flu masks from linen. The San Francisco Chronicle described some city residents as wearing masks ranging from standard surgical gauze to creations resembling nosebags, from the Turkish-inspired muslin yashmak veil to flimsy chiffon coverings draped lazily across the mouth and nose. Some wore “fearsome looking machines like extended muzzles” on their faces as they walked the streets and shopped in downtown stores. . .
======================== “If help doesn’t come, we’re going to lose people who should not die. Where the hell is the federal government?” — New York City Mayor Bill DeBlasio, quoted by The Daily Beast. ===================================== New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo told his state’s 19 million residents to stay indoors as much as possible and ordered nonessential businesses to keep all of their workers home, the New York Times reports. The measures, the state’s most drastic yet, come as confirmed coronavirus cases in New York topped 7,000, by far the most in the nation. Said Cuomo: “These provisions will be enforced. These are not helpful hints.” ===================================== Bloomberg Transfers Campaign Assets to Democratic Party [Click]
A surreal moment when President Trump went on an extended tear about his disagreements with Dr. Anthony Fauci about the efficacy of a drug that may have shown some anecdotally reported positive efforts as a treatment or prophylaxis for COVID-19. Trump describes some of his clinical disagreements with Dr Fauci on drug efficacy. [Click] — Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) March 20, 2020
I'm evidently mistaken about how to post a clickable link to a twitter story:
A surreal moment when President Trump went on an extended tear about his disagreements with Dr. Anthony Fauci about the efficacy of a drug that may have shown some anecdotally reported positive efforts as a treatment or prophylaxis for COVID-19. Trump describes some of his clinical disagreements with Dr Fauci on drug efficacy: pic.twitter.com/ukzrYybqxE
Thanks loads fora the article on why SARS-CoV-2 has been so successful. It clarifies a number of things I had only vaguely known before and tells me a few things I hadn't known at all. Including why flu is seasonal.
I don't know what is going on with ComEd. Last Friday we got a letter saying there would be a four-hour outage today for what was variously described as "maintenance" and "to upgrade reliability. Tuesday we got a robocall saying it had been cancelled. Yesterday we got a call saying it was going to happen. But it didn't.
The only thing that halfway makes sense is that yesterday's call was an automated followup to the original letter that wasn't cancelled as it should have been. We'd gotten a similar notice back in February, but that was understandably cancelled because the weather was quite bad that day. So the only thing was can be sure of is that it is going to happen sometime.
I intended to mention that Alan's mention of his former union inspired me to look up my former union, the Brotherhood of Railway, Airline, Steamship Clerks, Freight Handlers, Express and Station Employees. Yes that was the name when I was a local vice-president; it was said that at national meetings the ability to repeat the name proved you were sober.
Anyway, as I more than half expected, it no longer exists under that name. It is now the central part of the merged Transportation Communications International Union. I didn't check out who, if anybody, the TCIU endorsed.
via Bennett Shapiro, 16 March:
ReplyDeleteJanuary 22: “We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China. It’s going to be just fine.”
February 2: “We pretty much shut it down coming in from China.”
February 24: “The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA… Stock Market starting to look very good to me!”
February 25: “CDC and my Administration are doing a GREAT job of handling Coronavirus.”
February 25: “I think that's a problem that’s going to go away… They have studied it. They know very much. In fact, we’re very close to a vaccine.”
February 26: “The 15 (cases in the US) within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero.”
February 26: “We're going very substantially down, not up.”
February 27: “One day it’s like a miracle, it will disappear.”
February 28: “We're ordering a lot of supplies. We're ordering a lot of, uh, elements that frankly we wouldn't be ordering unless it was something like this. But we're ordering a lot of different elements of medical.”
March 2: “You take a solid flu vaccine, you don't think that could have an impact, or much of an impact, on corona?”
March 2: “A lot of things are happening, a lot of very exciting things are happening and they’re happening very rapidly.”
March 4: “If we have thousands or hundreds of thousands of people that get better just by, you know, sitting around and even going to work — some of them go to work, but they get better.”
March 5: “I NEVER said people that are feeling sick should go to work.”
March 5: “The United States… has, as of now, only 129 cases… and 11 deaths. We are working very hard to keep these numbers as low as possible!”
March 6: “I think we’re doing a really good job in this country at keeping it down… a tremendous job at keeping it down.”
March 6: “Anybody right now, and yesterday, anybody that needs a test gets a test. They’re there. And the tests are beautiful…. the tests are all perfect like the letter was perfect. The transcription was perfect. Right? This was not as perfect as that but pretty good.”
March 6: “I like this stuff. I really get it. People are surprised that I understand it… Every one of these doctors said, ‘How do you know so much about this?’ Maybe I have a natural ability. Maybe I should have done that instead of running for president.”
March 6: “I don't need to have the numbers double because of one ship that wasn't our fault.”
March 8: “We have a perfectly coordinated and fine tuned plan at the White House for our attack on CoronaVirus.”
March 9: “This blindsided us."
March 9: "The Fake News Media and their partner, the Democrat Party, is doing everything within its semi-considerable power (it used to be greater!) to inflame the CoronaVirus situation, far beyond what the facts would warrant.”
March 10: "It will go away. Just stay calm. It will go away."
March 13: National Emergency Declaration
"It's not nice to fool Mother Nature."
ReplyDeleteThere are diseases hidden in ice, and they are waking up.
http://www.bbc.com/earth/story/20170504-there-are-diseases-hidden-in-ice-and-they-are-waking-up?fbclid=IwAR3eWRMQwoZGigcyDn3AwxRBPHbbD9gm20yIlCGvkxNzEQWD-uOG0bqWqcU
I suppose it's as natural as those seeds that only sprout once they have been heated by an intense wildfire. The planet has been here a lot longer than we have, and may outlive us.
From The Atlantic Red and Blue America Aren’t Experiencing the Same Pandemic [Click] “Seattle, San Francisco, New York, Boston are just a few weeks ahead of other parts of the country. . . There will be outbreaks in places that we will be very surprised by.”
ReplyDeleteAs coronavirus spreads in Devin Nunes’ district, he blames ‘these media freaks’ [Click] The latest antics of our alleged “representative.”
ReplyDeleteBill, do you remember a novelette or novella in Analog several years back about a disease (I think it was a respiratory disorder. Vaguely recall mention of masks) that started in a small, backwater town in China and rapidly spread to become a global epidemic? Doctors died at high rates. Seems to me the main character was a reporter who himself got ill and died while reporting on the crisis, which was hushed up, or attempted to be hushed up, by the Chinese government. The closing scenes took place in Nicosia, Cyprus.
ReplyDeleteCan't for the life of me remember the title or author, nor the issue or even the year. But it must have been a good ten years ago, maybe twelve. I recall discussing it on the Analog Fan Club FB page, which was one of the first groups I joined on FB. The story has been in my mind for a few days; and the description of the scenes in the Italian hospital Alan posted brought it forcefully to mind. My mother forced me to throw away all my magazine back issues, so I can't go through Analog to find the story. Wondered if you might recall it.
I have subscriptions to the digital versions of ANALOG and ASIMOV'S, but never find time to read them. I've also for maybe a year had trouble accessing my B&N account, but haven't followed up because I'm buying my new stuff on Amazon -- slightly prefer the Kindle reader to Nook. So the short answer is that I probably never actually read that story and definitely don't remember it.
DeleteI'm an ER doctor. Please take coronavirus seriously. [Click] “Most people don’t understand exponential growth. If they did, they’d be far more frightened.” [Note that the graph is semi-logarithmic, not cartesian.]
ReplyDeleteJust today I learned that a friend's son (whom PhD*Son used to take care of) who is now a doctor, is a critical care doctor in Boston, and he rarely gets to leave the ICU right now. He had Pertussis in high school with a little lung damage and has an autoimmune issue. And his mother, who lives near me, is (understandably) freaked out about this.
DeletePlus, my DIL who is a RN in Maine has added to her Facebook profile picture a border that reads "StayTheFuckHome!" I figure she sure has the right to post that!!!
DeleteYou may or may not find this reassuring, but medical examiners and coroners across the country are actively preparing for a deluge of work. They are activating, or preparing to activate, their mass casualty, disaster, and continuation of service plans. They are seeking advice of colleagues overseas, particularly in Italy. They are beginning to coordinate with mortuaries. They are doing what they can, given the fact that even in normal times they are generally underfunded and understaffed. The huge problem that looms over them, just as it looms over all local government agencies in the country, is that they cannot rely upon help from neighboring jurisdictions.
ReplyDeleteThey are doing what they can to expedite death certificates, without which burials generally cannot take place, and life insurance claims cannot be filed. And they will still have their normal workload to take care of.
DeleteGot your supplies, Bill?
ReplyDeleteIllinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker (D) plans to issue a “shelter-in-place” order for the entire state starting Saturday, essentially commanding residents to stay in their homes as the officials take drastic measures to slow the spread of the coronavirus, the Chicago Tribune reports.
Oak Park has been on "lockdown" for a couple of days now, but that specifically allows me to walk to the grocery store. For me, the only real effect of this order is that the April 6 meeting of the Disability Pride Parade planning committee will not be in-person. But we've always had a call-in option, and having everybody call in is only modestly inconvenient. The big question in my mind is how we are going to get our mail (private mailbox, so it has to be picked up in person).
DeleteOhio now has 169 confirmed cases and 1 death. I found a free pattern for a face mask on Button Counter's blog. They're not as good as the "real" ones, but they're a whole lot better than nothing. Some hospitals are telling nurses to "just tie a scarf around your face", so things are pretty desperate. So, when I finish adding the last 3 rows onto the quilt I'm making I'm going to start making face masks.
ReplyDeletehttps://buttoncounter.com/2018/01/14/facemask-a-picture-tutorial/
They published patterns in the newspapers in 1918...
DeleteVarious models of masks [Click]
DeleteOne very simple pattern here [Click]
San Francisco 1918 [Click] . . .”As supplies of gauze masks ran low, the chairman of the San Francisco chapter of the American Red Cross suggested that women craft flu masks from linen. The San Francisco Chronicle described some city residents as wearing masks ranging from standard surgical gauze to creations resembling nosebags, from the Turkish-inspired muslin yashmak veil to flimsy chiffon coverings draped lazily across the mouth and nose. Some wore “fearsome looking machines like extended muzzles” on their faces as they walked the streets and shopped in downtown stores. . .
Little Vermont has already had 2 deaths. Last I heard our number was 29 cases. That's about a 6.9% death rate. Yikes!
Delete========================
ReplyDelete“If help doesn’t come, we’re going to lose people who should not die. Where the hell is the federal government?”
— New York City Mayor Bill DeBlasio, quoted by The Daily Beast.
=====================================
New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo told his state’s 19 million residents to stay indoors as much as possible and ordered nonessential businesses to keep all of their workers home, the New York Times reports. The measures, the state’s most drastic yet, come as confirmed coronavirus cases in New York topped 7,000, by far the most in the nation.
Said Cuomo: “These provisions will be enforced. These are not helpful hints.”
=====================================
Bloomberg Transfers Campaign Assets to Democratic Party [Click]
Schumer Describes Bizarro Phone Call With Trump Over COVID-19 Response [Click]
A surreal moment when President Trump went on an extended tear about his disagreements with Dr. Anthony Fauci about the efficacy of a drug that may have shown some anecdotally reported positive efforts as a treatment or prophylaxis for COVID-19. Trump describes some of his clinical disagreements with Dr Fauci on drug efficacy. [Click]
— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) March 20, 2020
Detroit automakers shut down plants but workers may return to build ventilators [Click]
OOPS. . .Iranians ignore requests to stay home for new year celebrations [Click]
‘No-waste’ Japanese village is a peek into carbon-neutral future [Click]
I'm evidently mistaken about how to post a clickable link to a twitter story:
DeleteA surreal moment when President Trump went on an extended tear about his disagreements with Dr. Anthony Fauci about the efficacy of a drug that may have shown some anecdotally reported positive efforts as a treatment or prophylaxis for COVID-19. Trump describes some of his clinical disagreements with Dr Fauci on drug efficacy: pic.twitter.com/ukzrYybqxE
— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) March 20, 2020
God help us! Now Trump thinks he's a doctor?
DeleteYou doubt? After all, he has a natural aptitude.
DeleteAptitude schmaptitude!
DeleteHe has a natural aptitude to be a hookworm!
I'd say he's rather more akin to a cestode, but that's quibbling...
DeleteThe Atlantic: What Should We Know About the President’s Health? [Click] “Pundits and campaign operatives dissecting years of medical records would be only more fodder for political theater.”
ReplyDeleteWhy the Coronavirus Has Been So Successful [Click] “Scientists can make some educated guesses about where it came from and why it’s behaving in such an extreme way.”
Tens of thousands losing jobs as coronavirus and an oil war slam shale fields [Click]
Thanks loads fora the article on why SARS-CoV-2 has been so successful. It clarifies a number of things I had only vaguely known before and tells me a few things I hadn't known at all. Including why flu is seasonal.
DeleteI thought it was pretty informative too, Bill. Glad you liked it.
DeleteI don't know what is going on with ComEd. Last Friday we got a letter saying there would be a four-hour outage today for what was variously described as "maintenance" and "to upgrade reliability. Tuesday we got a robocall saying it had been cancelled. Yesterday we got a call saying it was going to happen. But it didn't.
ReplyDeleteThe only thing that halfway makes sense is that yesterday's call was an automated followup to the original letter that wasn't cancelled as it should have been. We'd gotten a similar notice back in February, but that was understandably cancelled because the weather was quite bad that day. So the only thing was can be sure of is that it is going to happen sometime.
Sounds like they have a short circuit somewhere...
Delete[chuckle.wav]
DeleteBiden Plans Shadow Coronavirus Briefings [Click] Sounds like a good idea; one might say that Trump asked for it.
ReplyDeleteIt would be difficult for Biden to be more bumbling than Trump. Not impossible, mind you, but certainly difficult.
DeleteAin't dat the trooth! Biden's ego doesn't seem to be as hungry, but he sure is out circling Planet LaLa way too often!
DeleteBetter than being permanently in orbit about the planet Mongo.
DeleteLOL Alan
DeleteI feared that might date me...
DeleteSaw this on Facebook: Photo of a stock of toilet paper with the caption: "The new cryptocurrency - buttcoin.
ReplyDeleteWaPo: “The U.S. economy is deteriorating more quickly than was expected just days ago. . .” [Click] Certainly sounds grim.
ReplyDeleteI intended to mention that Alan's mention of his former union inspired me to look up my former union, the Brotherhood of Railway, Airline, Steamship Clerks, Freight Handlers, Express and Station Employees. Yes that was the name when I was a local vice-president; it was said that at national meetings the ability to repeat the name proved you were sober.
ReplyDeleteAnyway, as I more than half expected, it no longer exists under that name. It is now the central part of the merged Transportation Communications International Union. I didn't check out who, if anybody, the TCIU endorsed.