From politico.com, so tone down the “Democrats in disarray” stuff: Inside Joe Biden’s coronavirus bunker [Click] “Nearly everything in his campaign has been turned upside down, from fundraising to how (or even whether) to attack Trump.” “They’ve been studying the midterms of 1918, the year of the Spanish flu pandemic when large gatherings were banned in many places and candidates were forced to invent new ways to communicate with voters and run their campaigns. Turnout plummeted that year to 40%, from 50% in the 1914 midterms.”
But they didn't have radio, much less television and the Internet. Surely, these ubiquitous technologies make running an at-one-remove campaign a lot easier than it would be if you had to rely, for instance, only on the papers. Though, come to think of it, weren't the Lincoln-Douglas debates conducted in the papers? And a great many Americans read that. In any case, an effective campaign is possible in the present climate; it just requires imagination and creativity.
Sounds to me like there are enough RT's to maintain about 500,000 ventilators, maybe 750,000 if regulations are relaxed. That indicates a national need for about 500,000 plus spares to replace ones that need repair and/or maintenance, say at most 600,000. That would be about 75-80 thousand for California and 35-40 thousand for New York.
That's a 1.67% death rate. Higher than most states, but still in the ballpark. I expect Vermont's will continue to come down, but 5.4% still feels pretty high.
While I would normally cheer any plan that would 'blow up in his face,' this situation is far too serious to screw around with. I also note that nowhere in the article is a single person quoted as being concerned that Trump's relaxation of the rules might result in additional, needless suffering and death of real live people. All they care about is Trump's re-election prospects.
It looks like Sis and I won't be getting the $1,200 because Dad claimed us as dependents on his taxes, and dependents don't get the money. *deep, calming breath*
Hmmm, Is there an age limit on them giving $500 per child?
I was assuming that Root*Center*Son would get $0 because he makes a little more than $75K in his day job. However! It's pro-rated up to $99K so he'll at least get something.
Six hundred for children up to seventeen, which makes sense.
Interesting about the prorating. Dad told Sis that since his taxable income as listed on his tax return was over $7,500, he won't be getting anything. Wonder if he has heard about the prorating. *shrug* Guess we'll find out next month.
Not to worry anyone, but I've been slightly out of breath the last few days. It's not bad...like I have 95% breathing capacity. It was better yesterday than the day before, but today it's been a little worse. No fever at all. Slight cough, but I've had that for a couple weeks and I think it's not related. I'm keeping watch and not freaking out.
Truth be told, I wouldn't mind if it were a mild case of COVID-19, because I'm home and careful and by May I'd be all set. I would love to be able to lend a hand to others. Besides, if it's not that, what if it's the start of congestive heart failure (of which most of the women in my family die)? So, stay tuned and I promise I'll let you know if it becomes anything. So far, no big deal.
So this is predicting and early peak -- distinctly earlier than I had expected -- but then a long tail running well into June. The North American Science Fiction Convention in August should be OK.
You can’t reason people out of a position they weren’t reasoned into.
Scientists tell us that hitting people over the head with data tends to make them defensive and dismissive. If you want to reach them, it won’t be through their heads. It has to be through their hearts. Tell them your story.
What happens if a presidential nominee gets the coronavirus? [Click] It’s a wonder it has never yet happened.
ReplyDeleteFrom politico.com, so tone down the “Democrats in disarray” stuff: Inside Joe Biden’s coronavirus bunker [Click] “Nearly everything in his campaign has been turned upside down, from fundraising to how (or even whether) to attack Trump.”
“They’ve been studying the midterms of 1918, the year of the Spanish flu pandemic when large gatherings were banned in many places and candidates were forced to invent new ways to communicate with voters and run their campaigns. Turnout plummeted that year to 40%, from 50% in the 1914 midterms.”
But they didn't have radio, much less television and the Internet. Surely, these ubiquitous technologies make running an at-one-remove campaign a lot easier than it would be if you had to rely, for instance, only on the papers. Though, come to think of it, weren't the Lincoln-Douglas debates conducted in the papers? And a great many Americans read that. In any case, an effective campaign is possible in the present climate; it just requires imagination and creativity.
DeleteWe can be pretty sure that, if anything happens to Joe Biden, the DNC would pick anybody except Bernie. 😕
DeleteOhio Governor, Secretary Of State Split Over Restrictive Primary Voting Bill [Click]
ReplyDeleteLooks like the guess of April First might come nearest the mark as far as the snow pile goes. Unless you get more snow. *ducks*
ReplyDeleteNo fair hiring someone to dump a truckload of snow there during the night, I suppose...
DeleteWish I had thought of that, o Devious One. *grin*
DeleteHey, you never know. We did get 2 feet of snow on April 28th one year.
DeleteBut the way this one is going, we just might see bare ground by Easter. We'll see who comes closest!
We Need More Ventilators, But We Also Need People Who Know How to Use Them [Click] “Does the United States have enough respiratory therapists?”
ReplyDeleteSounds to me like there are enough RT's to maintain about 500,000 ventilators, maybe 750,000 if regulations are relaxed. That indicates a national need for about 500,000 plus spares to replace ones that need repair and/or maintenance, say at most 600,000. That would be about 75-80 thousand for California and 35-40 thousand for New York.
DeleteNo comment necessary.
ReplyDeleteChristian pastor who thought COVID-19 is just ‘mass hysteria’ among the first from Virginia to die from virus - Click
Pick me!
DeleteMy belief is that God is not a proponent of reckless endangerment.
One wonders what this fellow in Louisiana is actually worshiping:
Pastor again defies state order not to hold large gatherings. He says 1,000 people came to his church Sunday
https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/24/us/louisiana-pastor-spell-coronavirus/index.html?fbclid=IwAR3cwONsdYBNp1cEnAf2cbv7cgfKSGkKmvp4Iei4Wm_-gJ2Z3AJu0We6ZFg
Engineers Made a DIY Face Shield. Now It's Helping Doctors - Click
ReplyDeleteThe Analogy Between Covid-19 and Climate Change Is Eerily Precise - Click
ReplyDeleteVT cases/deaths:
ReplyDeleteSun 52/2 ~ Mon 75/5
Tues 95/7 ~ Weds 123/8
Thurs 158/9 ~ FRI 184/10
That's a 5.4% death rate.
‘Shoot to kill’: Texas man arrested after threatening Pelosi and other ‘satanic’ Democrats - Click
ReplyDeleteKooks under pressure.
DeleteThis is NOT "free speech."
Ohio, 1,100 COVID cases. They list on 4 deaths, but I'm thinking those are just recent, not part of the total.
ReplyDeleteRenee posted on Facebook that the actual count today is 1,137 with 19 deaths.
DeleteThat's a 1.67% death rate. Higher than most states, but still in the ballpark. I expect Vermont's will continue to come down, but 5.4% still feels pretty high.
DeleteTrump allies terrified that his plan to relax pandemic rules will blow up in his face - Click
ReplyDeleteWhile I would normally cheer any plan that would 'blow up in his face,' this situation is far too serious to screw around with. I also note that nowhere in the article is a single person quoted as being concerned that Trump's relaxation of the rules might result in additional, needless suffering and death of real live people. All they care about is Trump's re-election prospects.
Small town battled coronavirus on its own, as outbreak spread in a red state [Click]
ReplyDeleteNYT: Some U.S. Cities Could Have Coronavirus Outbreaks Worse Than Wuhan’s [Click] Interesting look at statistics. Requires careful reading, and probably re-reading.
ReplyDeleteThree new Fresno County coronavirus cases are community-acquired. Officials expect more [Click]
ReplyDeleteTime for some gardening now, then tax return stuff.
It looks like Sis and I won't be getting the $1,200 because Dad claimed us as dependents on his taxes, and dependents don't get the money. *deep, calming breath*
ReplyDeletePhooey!
DeleteHmmm, Is there an age limit on them giving $500 per child?
I was assuming that Root*Center*Son would get $0 because he makes a little more than $75K in his day job. However! It's pro-rated up to $99K so he'll at least get something.
Six hundred for children up to seventeen, which makes sense.
DeleteInteresting about the prorating. Dad told Sis that since his taxable income as listed on his tax return was over $7,500, he won't be getting anything. Wonder if he has heard about the prorating. *shrug* Guess we'll find out next month.
$7,500 should be $75,000
DeleteNot to worry anyone, but I've been slightly out of breath the last few days. It's not bad...like I have 95% breathing capacity. It was better yesterday than the day before, but today it's been a little worse. No fever at all. Slight cough, but I've had that for a couple weeks and I think it's not related. I'm keeping watch and not freaking out.
ReplyDeleteTruth be told, I wouldn't mind if it were a mild case of COVID-19, because I'm home and careful and by May I'd be all set. I would love to be able to lend a hand to others. Besides, if it's not that, what if it's the start of congestive heart failure (of which most of the women in my family die)? So, stay tuned and I promise I'll let you know if it becomes anything. So far, no big deal.
How are your senses of taste and smell, listener?
DeleteFine. And yes, I’ve been checking that. I keep rose essential oil and carob chips as my test kit.
DeletePlus, I had a good chat with Nurse Teri. 😊
DeleteWhile on the elliptical! LOL!
Yikes! *hug*
DeleteCovid-19 projections for US and individual states [Click] The median cases *might* not be as bad as some fear.
ReplyDeleteSo this is predicting and early peak -- distinctly earlier than I had expected -- but then a long tail running well into June. The North American Science Fiction Convention in August should be OK.
DeleteBut this article from Science News takes a dimmer view: When will the coronavirus pandemic and social distancing end?
DeleteYou can’t reason people out of a position they weren’t reasoned into.
ReplyDeleteScientists tell us that hitting people over the head with data tends to make them defensive and dismissive. If you want to reach them, it won’t be through their heads. It has to be through their hearts. Tell them your story.