Tuesday, September 05, 2017

Watching Irma

So, have you been following news of the hurricane in the Atlantic?  

This could be as bad as Houston, in many ways.  Check out these graphics, then meet me below.

Latest satellite image: "Here's lookin' at you, kid."




So, the 5th largest Category 5 hurricane on record is marching across the Caribbean, and it is still intensifying.  If it increases by just 5mph, it will tie with the strongest hurricane in recorded history, Hurricane Allen in 1980.  In the first graphic it looks like the darn thing is going to go into the Gulf of Mexico, where the waters are extra warm and the result cannot be good.  But, there are two Highs that may cause the hurricane to turn.  It could very well rake through Florida and beyond.  That is, at the moment, the most likely scenario.  But there are other possibilities too.  We'll know a lot more as each day passes.  Meanwhile, here is a very helpful video that explains it well.  Mind you, this is already slightly outdated.  I think a turn out to sea is now off the table.  But this definitely bears watching.  And keep saving your pennies.  Send half to flooded people and half to people fighting fires (Montana and more).  I sure wish we could share weather as needed!

More from Levi Cowan:  https://www.tropicaltidbits.com

Live Webcam on St. Barth (Gustavia): http://st-barth.com/livecam3.html

20 comments:

  1. Now Category 5. Not good. Typhoons in the western Pacific both stronger and more numerous this year too.

    Alan

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  2. I guess it takes a Deplorable to know one.[Click] HRC is not right in the head. I am reminded of the German fantasy of the 1930’s about why they lost the Great War—parliamentary subversives and all that.

    —Alan

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    1. Upon reflection, it seems to me that my qualitative assessments of the major party presidential nominees during recent elections have been pretty accurate. Some of that recollection might have been influenced by what came after the elections, but I think I make adequate allowance for that. Should anyone be interested (or not), I don't see any evidence at this time of a credible presidential candidate from California in 2020.

      --Alan

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    2. Doug Drummond posted an excerpt from her book blaming Bernie (as usual) for her loss. This was my response: "Bernie did not run against trump - Hillary did. Bernie did not lose to trump - Hillary did. She couldn't win against a flabby orange racist with five kids by three wives and somehow it's the fault of someone else? No, Hillary, you are a shitty campaigner - you were more interested in private high dollar fundraisers than reaching out to regular people. You broke it, you bought it. Now shut up and quit your lying whining. It's way past tiresome."

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    3. She apparently still just doesn't get it that many people did not want her for President, did not want to vote for her or DT, and found someone worth voting for instead, as is our RIGHT. There is no requirement that any one of any party "get on board" a sinking ship, or any other ship not of their choosing. I find it entirely absurd that ANY candidate anywhere should stand up after a loss and blame the voters or the other candidates, especially when their campaign was so utterly lackluster. We have some day got to get beyond the concept that people should be expected to hold their noses and vote.

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  3. 18th Charity Fundraiser at Mar-a-Lago Cancelled.[Click] Hmmmm…if Hurricane Irma were to sic a tornado on Mar-a-Lago, I suppose Trump could collect a tidy sum from insurance companies—including loss of business income.

    —Alan

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  4. I just read this comment on one of Bernie's posts on Facebook. It sums things up quite well, doesn't it?

    Ray Behar: If anyone follows (or defends) a president who is, a full out sociopath, a fascist, amoral, a greedy, deceptive, vulgar, racist, a treasonous racketeer, and misogynous, they are aiding and abetting and are part of it. And Republican leaders are complicit if they don’t stop enabling him. Resist. Persist. Clean out.

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  5. Very well put:

    “They’ll eat grass, but they won’t abandon their program unless they feel secure.”
    — Russian president Vladimir Putin, quoted by Bloomberg, arguing that sanctions against North Korea are “useless and ineffective.”

    --Alan

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  6. I just updated the graphics and links on the front page. Ayecarumba!!

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  7. A Parthian shot - Click

    Things are not always what they seem.

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    1. How interesting! Thanks, Cat. I'll pass this along to Youngest, who is 4% Neanderthal. We haven't done our own genomes yet, so we don't yet know which side that comes from! Ha! It could be from my husband's mother's side, or maybe from my Dad's side of the family. We'll see!

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  8. And I once again updated the graphics out front to reflect the latest information from the Hurricane Hunters.
    How terrible it must be for people on the Caribbean islands who could not evacuate!

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  9. Not that I believe said Russian politician would have access to such information should it exist, it might prove most amusing, particularly if it should hit at the same time Hurricane Irene is doing a job on Mar-a-Lago...
    --Alan

    A Russian politician has threatened to “hit Donald Trump with our Kompromat” on state television, the Independent reports.

    “Speaking on Russia-24, Nikita Isaev, leader of the far-right New Russia Movement, said the compromising material should be released in retaliation over the closure of several Russian diplomatic compounds across the US.”

    When asked whether Russia has such material, Mr Isaev replied: “Of course we have it!”

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  10. New hospital policy in Utah: No police in patient care areas and police concerns need to be cleared through a supervisor, not a nurse. Awesome.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2017/09/04/utah-hospital-bars-cops-from-contact-with-nurses-after-appalling-arrest/?utm_term=.72696a13f632

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    1. Perfectly reasonable, measured and appropriate. I suppose that the police response to the incident has so far amounted to precious little. No one arrested, no one fired, no charges filed, no corrective education. If I am mistaken, please correct me.

      Alan

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    2. Two cops have been placed on leave and are reasonably certain to face some sort of discipline. That could reach the level of firing. And the police department has repudiated the concept of "implied consent," which was the reason the officer thought he had the right to blood from an unconscious patient (although even if valid it wouldn't have applied in this case).

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  11. Is America Headed for a New Kind of Civil War?

    "Mines has spent his career—in the U.S. Army Special Forces, the United Nations, and now the State Department—navigating civil wars in other countries, including Afghanistan, Colombia, El Salvador, Iraq, Somalia, and Sudan. He returned to Washington after sixteen years to find conditions that he had seen nurture conflict abroad now visible at home. It haunts him. In March, Mines was one of several national-security experts whom Foreign Policy asked to evaluate the risks of a second civil war—with percentages. Mines concluded that the United States faces a sixty-per-cent chance of civil war over the next ten to fifteen years. Other experts’ predictions ranged from five per cent to ninety-five per cent. The sobering consensus was thirty-five per cent. And that was five months before Charlottesville."

    https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/is-america-headed-for-a-new-kind-of-civil-war

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    1. I should say that there are far too many people who refuse to accept the outcome of the Civil War, and are trying to go down the same road ("let's cooperate--you do everything our way"). But the country is far more integrated in all ways (money, for but one) than it was then, there are no state militias, and there is a large standing federal army. A hot war seems to me darn near impossible. But we are well down the road to anarchy. Why the politicians and media persist in calling right-wing radicals and anarchists "conservatives" I simply cannot fathom.

      Alan

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  12. It could easily come to that. The Nazis and the KKK are so eager to run around murdering people they are practically drooling. We see states passing or attempting to pass laws that it is okay to murder people by running over them with a car.

    Why they think people would sit around placidly awaiting execution is beyond me.

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  13. http://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather/hurricane/article171290172.html

    "Trump owns a multi-million dollar mansion on the Caribbean island of St. Martin — and Category 5 Irma is heading straight for it."

    Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather/hurricane/article171290172.html#storylink=cpy

    I would love to see trump's property in St. Martin as well as Mar-a-Lago in FL scoured from the face of the earth.

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